Hike Conditions

Mt Baldy (Mt San Antonio)

10,064 ftSan Gabriel MountainsAngeles National ForestEstimate updated 40 min ago
We found no Forest Service alert naming Mt Baldy's trails and no weather warning for the summit (checked 40 min ago). Closures can be posted at any time: check the forest's alerts page before you go.
Worst case on the way up, next 24 hours

No snow or ice expected on the trail in the next 24 hours. Mountain weather changes within hours: check the forecast and the newest reports before you leave.

About 1.2 in of snow is forecast at the summit in the next 2 days; about 1.9 in of rain is forecast near the summit in the next 2 days, and rain that freezes turns to ice; nights at the summit go down to about 30 °F.

23
people died on Mt Baldy from 2016 to 2025.Most around Devil's Backbone and Icehouse Canyon (San Bernardino County Sheriff). Three died near Devil's Backbone on one day, December 29, 2025, after snow and rain turned to ice. Rescuers say: crampons, not just microspikes, an ice axe, a helmet, and the training to use them. Source
Planning ahead? From Sat, Oct 10, 8:00 PM, it gets worse

Ice or hard snow likely above about 10,000 ft. On the section "Baldy Bowl, above the ski hut", that means crampons, ice axe and helmet, and the training to use them. Without them, turn around below 8,200 ft.

About 1.2 in of snow is forecast at the summit in the next 2 days; about 1.9 in of rain is forecast near the summit in the next 2 days, and rain that freezes turns to ice; nights at the summit go down to about 30 °F.

CramponsIce axeHelmetTraining to self-arrest

By trail section

Next 24 hours. Pick a route.

6k7k8k9k10k10,064 ft0 mi4.1 mi
No snow expectedPatchy, carry microspikesMicrospikes and polesIcy: cramponsCrampons, ice axe, helmet
Falls Road, Manker Flat to the Ski Hut trail turnNo snow expected
6,160 → 6,950 ft · mile 0 to 1.1No snow or ice in the model for the next 24 hours.

Paved, then dirt road. Ice forms first in the shaded bends.

Ski Hut Trail to the Sierra Club ski hutNo snow expected
6,950 → 8,200 ft · mile 1.1 to 2.3No snow or ice in the model for the next 24 hours.

Narrow trail above a drop. If you have no crampons, the hut is as far as you go.

Baldy Bowl, above the ski hutNo snow expected
8,200 → 9,600 ft · mile 2.3 to 3.6No snow or ice in the model for the next 24 hours.

Steep, open slope with a long fall line. Hard snow and ice here have killed hikers who slid 500 to 700 ft.

Ridge to the summitNo snow expected
9,600 → 10,064 ft · mile 3.6 to 4.1No snow or ice in the model for the next 24 hours.

Wind-scoured, often icy, cold wind.

Elevations and miles are approximate.

By elevation

Snow on the ground now; gear for the next 24 hours

ElevationSnow nowSurfaceNeed
10,064
none
No snow on the groundNo snow expected
10,000
none
No snow on the groundNo snow expected
9,500
none
No snow on the groundNo snow expected
9,000
none
No snow on the groundNo snow expected
8,500
none
No snow on the groundNo snow expected
8,000
none
No snow on the groundNo snow expected
7,500
none
No snow on the groundNo snow expected
7,000
none
No snow on the groundNo snow expected
6,500
none
No snow on the groundNo snow expected
6,000
none
No snow on the groundNo snow expected
5,500
none
No snow on the groundNo snow expected
5,000
none
No snow on the groundNo snow expected
4,500
none
No snow on the groundNo snow expected
How we got this, at the summit
Tue 10-06 42 to 59 °F. On the ground: 0 in.
Wed 10-07 44 to 60 °F. On the ground: 0 in.
Thu 10-08 45 to 60 °F. On the ground: 0 in.
Fri 10-09 44 to 56 °F. On the ground: 0 in.
Sat 10-10 (forecast)+0.2 in snow. 0.13 in rain. −0.2 in melted (we count 90%). 34 to 47 °F. On the ground: 0 in.
Sun 10-11 (forecast)+1 in snow. 1.8 in rain. −0.1 in melted (we count 90%). 30 to 40 °F. On the ground: 0.7 in.

Model 1.0: National Weather Service grid LOX 178,52 (fetched 41 min ago) and Open-Meteo (fetched 41 min ago), corrected to each elevation. How it works

At the summit: 3 days back, 2 ahead32 °FTueWedThuFri0.2″Sat*1″Sun*
New snowRainNight low* forecast

Check these before you go

From hikers on the mountain

Soon you'll be able to tell us what you saw, by voice or photo, and a fresh report will beat our estimate for that spot.

Until then, the newest posts in the links on the left are the best ground truth. Check the date on every one: anything from before the last storm is out of date.

If the page says crampons, ice axe and helmet

CramponsNot microspikes: rescuers say most recent deaths involved microspikes on steep ice. Fit them to your boots at home.
Ice axeAnd the skill to self-arrest. Practise on a safe slope with a course before you need it.
HelmetA climbing helmet. Falls here end on rocks.
Satellite messengerMuch of the mountain has no cell signal.
A turn-around timeDecide it before you start, and keep it.

What this estimate can't see

  • This is a model, not an observation. A 1 °C error moves the snow line about 500 ft.
  • It cannot see one shaded chute or a boot-packed icy track. Treat any shade as icier than shown.
  • After the first storms of the season, thin ice on rock is common and hard to see. We lean on the side of more gear.
Estimates come from weather models and can be wrong. They are a safety check, not permission to go. You are responsible for your own safety. In an emergency call 911.Weather data: National Weather Service, NOAA, and Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0). Closures: USDA Forest Service.How the estimate worksSafety notice and termsPrivacyA free Hidden Planet project